How can a novice develop his own principles of e-sports betting?
The bets on eSports are not much different from the bets on football, tennis, hockey and other sports. Bookmakers allocate bets on eSports in a separate section, so that players can immediately find a line of bets on a virtual sport. Technical points are the same: you need to choose the outcome, the type of bet and the amount. The outcome is most often the victory of one of the teams, but there may be other exotic betting options. For example, bet on the "first blood" in DotA 2.
Is it difficult to bet? About betting at random
Sites bookmakers are arranged as simply and accessible. For a person familiar with a computer, it will not be difficult to bet on this or that outcome. But in terms of sports analysis you need to work hard. You need at least superficially to be familiar with the game discipline on which you plan to bet. It is advisable that you previously played Dotu, Counter-Strike, or the game whose outcome you are going to predict. Betting "in milk" and at random is the surest way to merge your entire game budget.
Avoid red-black bets.
The bookmaker in the line can offer betting odd or even. For example, will the total number of Dot 2 kills be an odd or even number? Agree that it is difficult to predict the parity of the number of murders. Your knowledge and analytical skills here are simply powerless. You might as well use roulette for betting.
In some fights there is a clear favorite. It seems to you, like hundreds of other forecasters, that this particular team will win. The forecast is based on statistics for the past few months and has the right to exist. It is statistics in 90% of cases that bookmakers use when drawing up a line. But statistics is only a superficial analysis.
The favorite of the fight can lose a newcomer who is in very bad shape. The reason is player fatigue after three grueling victories in a row.
So do not rely 100% on the odds that bookmakers give you. Think with your head.
Do not put on pets
One of the motivations for betting on a team in eSports is personal sympathy. They are good guys, I saw one of them on the forum that year, etc. This is the wrong approach to betting. It is necessary to take into account the skill, motivation, objective and subjective data. The element of chance in eSports is small, it is not a roulette. Therefore, the high chances of winning the team, which consists of experienced players. Skill decides if not all, very much.
If you want to make money on e-sports bets, then make a prediction without evaluating the players' personality. For you there is no "favorite" and "unloved", you need to put on the pro. Let it be disgusting to you.
Do not believe 100% of experts. Especially the "sofa experts" on all issues
On the forums dedicated to e-sports betting, a lot of information about the predictions for the victory of a team. "Experts" are competing in eloquence among themselves, trying to convince them of the correctness of their prediction. But any prediction in any case will remain only an assumption. So turn on your head and think who will win in a shooter, strategy or fighting game. You put your hard-earned money, so only you make the final decision regarding the forecast.
This “expert” from the forum can also confidently, like Dotu, give predictions for women's tennis. Why do you have to trust him 100%?
Match fixing: is everything so scary?
Moreover, it is not necessary to be “led” to loud statements about agreements. Think for yourself: if you are a member of the team that planned the agreement, will you loudly shout about it on the forums, tell your friends or neighbors? Probably not. You will quietly make the right bet and will be silent. Especially because you already paid. If there is a lot of bets on one outcome, then bookmakers can not only reduce the odds, but also return all previously set bets with a odds of 1.
There are agreements. An experienced player can create the situation he needs in such a way that no one will even guess. For example, a contract could be ordered for the first Dota murder.
But famous teams with famous players are bound by long-term contracts. They give everyone a good income on an ongoing basis, so they are unlikely to take the risk of a one-time payday. If you add to this the large prize pools of tournaments, the players will think ten times to tarnish their reputation with a match match. Especially in the era of high technology, when it is very difficult to hide the correspondence or negotiations. Secret very quickly becomes apparent.
Examine the object of the game thoroughly.
You do not sit in a sober mind at the controls of the aircraft, if you do not understand anything about piloting? To become a pilot, it takes years of study. The situation is similar with eSports. Before making bets you need to thoroughly examine the game. It’s best to play it yourself for at least three hours a day throughout the year. So you will see the "pitfalls" of the streams, evaluate the style of play of this or that team.
Study the cards, find out on which card the meeting will take place (if such information is officially disclosed). Assess the ability of individual players of each team to play on a particular map.
Fork rates attract betters, especially beginners. You can make a profit regardless of the outcome of the event. For example, when betting on matches CS GO, one bookmaker gives a coefficient 2.3 on the pass of the first team. On the opponent's pass, another bookmaker also gives a coefficient of 2.3. By making a bet of 10 thousand rubles for each team, the player is guaranteed to receive a profit of 3 thousand rubles.
But betting on “forks” is a risk. The bookmaker can make a mistake, and you can get a negative reputation from the bookmaker, which will lead to account blocking. For example, instead of Cafe 1.2, the bookmaker gave 12. You bet, mentally spend the winnings, but in fact the bet will be returned with the odds 1. The bookmakers are not fools and calculate the “forks” and those who like to make money on them.
Try live betting
Real-time ratio can vary very flexibly. Looking through the broadcast, you can put on an obvious favorite with a larger factor when he temporarily loses. You should not catch the above-mentioned "plug" in live, this is the wrong strategy of the game, which kills your professional development as a better. In addition, you can simply not catch a counter event with the fact that will block the risks.
Most of the stars of eSports are young guys who often do not have much experience playing in public. Moreover, some of them have complexes in relation to the “big stage”. If the attention of the crowd is riveted on the game, hands may simply shake with excitement. For a cyber sportsman this is fraught with loss.
Before making bets, be sure to “feel” the level of psychological preparation of each team.
Learn the statistics of personal confrontations
There are a lot of face-to-face confrontations between different teams, so you can judge about certain trends. For example, in DotA 2, you can see that one of the teams performs very poorly in a long positional game, but it acts well against fast players. Analyzing the confrontations of the two teams allows you to create an effective strategy of stakes. It’s better to have this strategy on your own.
Prepared on the basis of materials EGamersWorld..